Productivity rose, for a change: StatCan

First gain in years may be short lived amid rising trade tensions

Manufacturing

After years of stagnation, labour productivity rose in the fourth quarter of 2024, according to new data from Statistics Canada.

Labour productivity grew by 0.6% in the quarter, following three quarters of little change. The increase came as output grew at double the rate of the third quarter, rising 0.8%, and hours worked rose, but at half of the pace of Q3 (up just 0.2%).

The service sector was primarily responsible for the increase in productivity, StatCan said — while productivity continued to decline in the goods sector.

The rise in productivity for the fourth quarter also translated into a productivity increase for 2024, which was up 0.6% for the year, StatCan said — noting that this came on the heels of three years of declines.

Despite the improvement, “the big picture remains one of weakness,” cautioned BMO Capital Markets in a research note. 

“This persistent issue should be among the top priorities to address to support medium- and long-term economic growth,” it said — a challenge that could be exacerbated by rising trade tensions, which hamper foreign investment.

That concern was echoed by Desjardins Group, which warned on Wednesday that — while productivity was poised to rise this year, as immigration slows — the expected rebound, “could be restrained by circumstances beyond the control of Canadian policymakers.”