G20 trade mixed to end 2024: OECD

Merchandise trade down, services exports up, imports flat in Q4

Confused trader

Across the G20, merchandise trade declined in the fourth quarter, according to data from the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD).

On Tuesday, the Paris-based group reported that trade in goods (measured in U.S. dollars) dropped in the fourth quarter of 2024, with exports falling 0.6% and imports declining 1.0%, on a quarter-over-quarter basis.

For the U.S., exports declined by 2.2% in the fourth quarter, “primarily due to reduced shipments of capital goods, including computers and aircraft,” the OECD said.

Yet, imports rose 0.7% in the quarter, “driven by increased purchases of industrial supplies, metals, and gold.”

In Canada, exports rose by 0.9% in the fourth quarter, on the strength of strong sales of gold and other precious metals, the OECD said — but imports declined by 4%, primarily due to declines in motor vehicles and various metals.

The European Union (EU) saw exports drop by 2.6% in the fourth quarter, while imports fell by 2.7%, it reported. And, China’s exports grew by 4.3%, but imports were down by 0.7%.

For the full year, G20 merchandise trade activity was mixed, the OECD said, with exports rising 0.7% compared with 2023, while imports declined by 0.2% year over year.

On the services side, preliminary estimates indicate that exports for the G20 rose by 1.5% in the fourth quarter, while imports were stable, the OECD noted. For the full year, it estimated that exports grew by 8.5% and imports rose by 7.4%.

Canada’s services trade saw exports and imports drop by 3.9% and 2.4%, respectively, in the fourth quarter.

Services trade also faced a “marked slowdown” across the EU, the OECD said, whereas in the U.S., exports rose by 2.6% in the quarter, and imports grew by 3.4%, “driven by higher payments for travel, insurance, and financial services.”