Canadian economy stronger than previously thought in 2022

Provincial GDP data points to upward revision to national reading, BMO says

Business chart with rising arrow and falling arrow

The Canadian economy was likely a bit stronger in 2022 than previously thought, according to new data from Statistics Canada.

Provincial GDP data indicates the economy grew by 3.6% in 2022, the national statistical agency said Monday, as real GDP rose in every province except Newfoundland and output was above pre-pandemic levels in every region apart from Newfoundland, Saskatchewan and the Northwest Territories.

“Most jurisdictions saw a deceleration from the pandemic recovery-fueled growth observed in 2021,” StatsCan said.

“Services-producing industries were buoyed by the removal of remaining Covid-19-related restrictions at the same time as improved growing conditions supported a rebound in agriculture for many regions,” it added.

In a research note, BMO Economics said the data indicates that the previous reading of 3.4% for national GDP will undergo a modest upward revision.

“Most provinces benefited from the lifting of pandemic-era restrictions in 2022,” BMO said. “The Prairies received an added boost from a jump in resource prices following the invasion in Ukraine, and from a rebound in agricultural production following the previous year’s drought. Altogether, the Canadian economy looks to have grown at a stronger-than-expected pace last year.”